سال انتشار: ۱۳۸۲

محل انتشار: چهارمین کنفرانس بین المللی زلزله شناسی و مهندسی زلزله

تعداد صفحات: ۵

نویسنده(ها):

S. Nazaretyan – Professor, Director of Northern Department NSSP, Armenia,
H. Suvaryan – Researcher of Northern Department NSSP, Armenia,
H. Karapetyan – Researcher of Northern Department NSSP, Armenia,

چکیده:

The probable source model for earthquakes in Armenia with M≥۵٫۰ is offered by generalization and creation of the base of tectonic, seismotectonic, seismological, geophysical and other data.It consists of four stages: а) accumulation of elastic strains; b) discompaction (dilatation and diffusion, formation of the faults; c) formation of a main fault; d) aftershock activity. For each stages the development of the processes in source zone, its duration, probable precursors, possibility of seismic prediction (the time of the main event, site and magnitude) are given.